Pre-tourney Rankings
Missouri St.
Missouri Valley
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.5#221
Expected Predictive Rating-1.5#186
Pace72.3#121
Improvement-0.4#198

Offense
Total Offense-3.6#265
First Shot-4.0#285
After Offensive Rebound+0.4#141
Layup/Dunks-5.3#342
2 Pt Jumpshots+5.9#6
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.7#322
Freethrows+0.1#165
Improvement-1.1#238

Defense
Total Defense+0.0#179
First Shot+0.4#162
After Offensive Rebounds-0.4#218
Layups/Dunks+4.7#23
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.2#342
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#258
Freethrows+1.4#81
Improvement+0.7#142
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2015 183   @ Oral Roberts L 65-80 31%     0 - 1 -13.3 -11.0 -1.9
  Nov 19, 2015 31   Butler L 59-93 8%     0 - 2 -21.6 -12.7 -7.5
  Nov 20, 2015 176   Minnesota L 69-74 39%     0 - 3 -5.8 -1.7 -4.2
  Nov 22, 2015 73   Mississippi St. L 70-84 15%     0 - 4 -6.3 +1.8 -8.3
  Dec 01, 2015 133   Utah St. L 68-69 39%     0 - 5 -1.7 -9.2 +7.6
  Dec 05, 2015 82   @ Oklahoma St. W 64-63 11%     1 - 5 +10.7 -3.1 +13.8
  Dec 10, 2015 213   IUPUI W 88-74 60%     2 - 5 +7.8 +11.8 -4.4
  Dec 13, 2015 64   Tulsa L 61-70 20%     2 - 6 -3.5 -14.0 +11.0
  Dec 16, 2015 183   Oral Roberts W 85-66 52%     3 - 6 +14.8 +4.0 +10.0
  Dec 19, 2015 52   @ Valparaiso L 45-74 7%     3 - 7 -16.3 -18.2 +1.9
  Dec 22, 2015 338   Southeast Missouri St. L 74-78 88%     3 - 8 -20.6 -10.8 -9.5
  Dec 30, 2015 121   @ Illinois St. L 61-74 19%     3 - 9 0 - 1 -7.1 +0.6 -9.2
  Jan 02, 2016 78   Evansville L 59-76 23%     3 - 10 0 - 2 -12.9 -11.9 -0.7
  Jan 06, 2016 80   Northern Iowa W 59-58 23%     4 - 10 1 - 2 +5.1 +0.4 +4.9
  Jan 09, 2016 175   @ Loyola Chicago W 56-54 29%     5 - 10 2 - 2 +4.2 -6.3 +10.7
  Jan 13, 2016 24   Wichita St. L 62-78 9%     5 - 11 2 - 3 -4.4 -0.6 -4.1
  Jan 16, 2016 314   @ Bradley W 61-42 64%     6 - 11 3 - 3 +11.7 -0.1 +14.5
  Jan 20, 2016 254   @ Drake W 79-70 46%     7 - 11 4 - 3 +6.4 -3.0 +8.8
  Jan 24, 2016 135   Southern Illinois L 65-80 40%     7 - 12 4 - 4 -15.9 -10.3 -5.3
  Jan 27, 2016 165   @ Indiana St. L 59-68 28%     7 - 13 4 - 5 -6.5 -14.8 +9.2
  Jan 30, 2016 121   Illinois St. W 84-81 OT 36%     8 - 13 5 - 5 +3.0 +2.4 +0.3
  Feb 02, 2016 314   Bradley W 77-71 82%     9 - 13 6 - 5 -7.2 +3.4 -10.6
  Feb 06, 2016 78   @ Evansville L 64-83 11%     9 - 14 6 - 6 -9.1 -5.9 -2.2
  Feb 10, 2016 80   @ Northern Iowa L 69-83 11%     9 - 15 6 - 7 -4.1 +6.1 -11.1
  Feb 13, 2016 165   Indiana St. W 89-85 OT 49%     10 - 15 7 - 7 +0.7 +8.0 -7.8
  Feb 18, 2016 24   @ Wichita St. L 68-99 4%     10 - 16 7 - 8 -13.5 +1.7 -12.6
  Feb 21, 2016 175   Loyola Chicago L 62-75 50%     10 - 17 7 - 9 -16.7 -9.5 -7.3
  Feb 24, 2016 254   Drake W 61-52 68%     11 - 17 8 - 9 +0.6 -18.2 +18.8
  Feb 27, 2016 135   @ Southern Illinois L 68-78 21%     11 - 18 8 - 10 -5.1 -9.8 +5.8
  Mar 03, 2016 254   Drake W 69-67 58%     12 - 18 -3.5 -4.8 +1.4
  Mar 04, 2016 78   Evansville L 56-66 16%     12 - 19 -3.0 -8.9 +5.4
Projected Record 12.0 - 19.0 8.0 - 10.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 100.0% 100.0
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%